UK Met Office: temperature records likely to be broken in next five years

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Global average temperatures are likely to reach record highs between 2020 and 2024, according to computer models at the UK’s Met Office.

Individual years from 2020 to 2024 are predicted to be between 1.06°C and 1.62°C above pre-industrial conditions, and it is likely the current record of 1.16°C, set in 2016, will be beaten.

Average temperatures over the five-year period are expected to be between 1.15°C and 1.46°C above pre-industrial levels.

The five years between 2015-2019 were 1.09°C above pre-industrial levels, the warmest on five-year period on record.

Met Office fellow and expert on decadal prediction Dr Doug Smith said, “The latest five-year forecast suggests continued warming, consistent with sustained high levels of greenhouse gases. Uncertainties exist within the forecast, but most regions are expected to be warmer and forecast patterns suggest enhanced warming over land, especially northern parts of Europe, Asia and North America – extending the ongoing trend.”

Relatively cool conditions in the north Atlantic are also predicted to warm, potentially exacerbating the warming over Europe.

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Helen has worked for UKi Media & Events for more than a decade. She joined the company as assistant editor on Passenger Terminal World and has since progressed to become editor of five publications, covering everything from aviation, logistics and automotive to meteorology. She has a love for travel and property and has redeveloped three houses in three years. When she’s not editing magazines, she’s running around after her two boys and their partner in crime, Pete the pug.

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